AFC North Outlook: The Bengals

08/21/2022

The Cincinnati Bengals defied all the odds last season and reached their first Super Bowl in 33 years which they only narrowly lost to the LA Rams 23-20. They topped the AFC with an 27-24 OT win over the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City and wrapped up the AFC North Division Title with a 10-7 record. Ja'Marr Chase amassed 175 points, Joe Burrow 153 points, Joe Mixon 150 points and Tee Higgins 125 points. The next best receiver was tight end C.J. Uzomah with 93 points. It was an outstanding year, but I don't think it will be repeated. Here's why:

1: Strength of Schedule.

The Bengals played last season with the fourth placed schedule in the AFC North. They only played five Playoff teams in their 17 games- the Packers, the Raiders, the Chargers, the Niners and the Chiefs and they lost three of these games. In 2022 they have the third toughest schedule. Aside from the Ravens and Browns in the AFC North, both of whom were injury ravaged all last season, and let's face it the Steelers won't be a pushover despite moving on from Roesthlisberger, the Bengals have to play the Cowboys, Saints, Titans, Chiefs, Buccaneers and the Bills, with honourable mention to the Dolphins (added Tyreek Hill), and Patriots. If they somehow manage to still make in to the Playoffs we can probably add the Chargers to that list who added Khalil Mack. Last season they won three regular season games by 3 points or less which ultimately made the difference between winning the AFC North and enabling them to go on their postseason run. I don't think they will be so fortunate this coming season.

2. Depth of Roster.

As already mentioned the Bengals relied on a small handful of players for most of their points. Burrow and Chase is a deadly combination, but if Chase was to go down injured, what depth do the Bengals have at wide receiver after Higgins and Boyd? Have you ever heard of Mike Thomas, Stanley Morgan, Trent Taylor? The Bengals have these listed as their second wide receivers. Oh and tight end C.J. Uzomah has left the Bengals. For a Super Bowl losing team the Bengals don't have much depth, and to be fair, they didn't last season either, but last season they were remarkably injury free. Of the 32 NFL teams last season the Bengals had the 9th healthiest roster and the fourth healthiest in the AFC. They're unlikely to be as fortunate this coming season.

3. Evan McPherson.

Let's not pretend the Bengals kicker didn't make a significance difference to the Bengals win total last season. Statistics don't lie:

McPherson had 5 game winning walk off field goals
He Kicked 12/12 in the postseason which is the NFL record
He holds the NFL record of 4 field goals kicked in multiple games in a single postseason
He was 12/14 field goals of 50+ yards which is another NFL record
He was 22/22 on field goals on the road this season
He amassed 130 points from field goals last season so contributed the fourth most points

No wonder the Bengals faithful gave him a huge reception when he came on in their preseason friendly loss to the Cardinals, where he didn't miss a kick, including a 58 yard bomb. As good as he is 5 walk off wins is unlikely this upcoming season.

My prediction is the AFC North is likely to be won by the Baltimore Ravens unless Jacoby Brissett performs a lot better than expected for the Cleveland Browns. If the Browns are still in contention by game 12, and the return of Deshaun Watson, there might still be a late twist in the AFC North Division race.